(to edit your profile, resubmit with the same name)
I'm hoping that Manifest goes smoothly and everyone has a great time! The main way people can help make this happen is by acting prosocial in a bunch of small ways: being spontaneously generous and helpful, running cool side events, connecting people who should meet, asking good questions, and so on. Also let me know during the event what's bugging you and how we can make Manifest better!
Tell me if something about Manifest is bugging you and I might be able to fix it. Or if I can't fix it, I might be able to fix it for next year :)
I want to make Manifest awesome — you can help by telling me how I can make it awesome for you!
A great event :)
Excited to throw this giant party with all my favorite people in the world. Thanks for coming, and I hope you make lifelong friends!
I know a bunch about websites, grants and events; always happy to share.
Meet bloggers and speakers in person, talk to like minded people and maybe find new friends and connections
Insights on modern wireless communications and some history knowledge with a bit of skepticism and moral relativism
I want to better understand the role of prediction in everyday life and in philosophical argument. I also want to understand why some beliefs seem armored against updating.
Philosophical inquiry?
Hoping to meet others in finance interesting using prediction markets, generally excited to hang with EAs/rats/people in this sphere!
Perspective on use cases in finance
Just want to meet interesting people!
I work in legal and regulatory technology. I used to be the Chief Compliance Officer of a public company. I have experience growing a company from small to large. So, I can give advice on anything related to any of that.
I love anything beautiful. Show me the dawn.
Whatever danse fate has prepared for us, I'm ready to dance.
make friends with my energy
I have an Actually Good model of psychological growth. Lately I've started counseling people much of the way from insecure attachment to secure attachment in 3 hours. I charge for this though ("half of the value you get from it, as assessed by you in 3-12 months").
I want to meet the community first and foremost.
I'd like to learn more about prediction markets, how they'll impact society, and what the road to legality in the U.S. is looking like.
My main hard skill is building software, although I'm pretty booked on that front. Beyond that, I can offer good conversation.
A good time.
A joke. Maybe a ride, or some local tips, especially if you’re visiting to SF.
I am interested in learning more about forecasting and related areas, and making new friends and collaborators. I am especially interested in meeting people involved with AI Safety, Policy Making, and similar, but actually excited to meet interesting people of all sorts.
I have decades of experience in AI and related fields. I am generally a good partner for bouncing either technical or organizational ideas off of. I do a lot of mentoring. I ask good questions.
Connections, ideas, collaboration.
Navigating novelty, delivering change.
I want to inject serendipity into my own life and others- beyond that I'm just trying to meet interesting people and ideas.
I've been here the whole time.
Unsure yet. I'm doing pretty well, all things considered. If someone is looking for help with some psychology or therapy or rationality research or learning, my time is purchasable.
Anything related to therapy, psychology, fiction, game design, or rationality.
Meet cool people. Beat Nate Silver at poker. Chat with friends who live out of town.
I know stuff about the AI existential safety research community.
just here for the vibes
open to helping or collaborating wherever I can - just ask!
I want to meet other like-minded people. Others can help me in the Good Science Project's mission if they can push for policy agendas at the federal level, or if they can connect me to potential donors.
I can provide advice on writing and on interacting with policymakers.
Mostly hang out and chat up interesting people. If I could wish for things, I'd want to thank Scott Alexander for his blog and maybe have a conversation with Joe Carlsmith about his subseries on Green. No other goals, I'm treating this as a fun vacation.
Man, this is a question right here. I'm a programmer with a history of studying datastructures and memory management systems, so if anyone wants to talk about that, I'm down. I love board games, so I'm down for being an extra player in Power Grid, Orleans, Root or the like. I'm a pretty decent Zouk lead, so I can help if anyone wants to cut a rug. If you want to talk about anything else, I can't guarantee I'll be the most knowledgeable, but I very probably won't judge you.
Meet people. Have fun. Learn about cool stuff I've never heard of. Maybe figure out what to do with my life.
Always happy to be a sounding board for wild ideas.
Meet lots of interesting people, have great conversations, and have fun!
I'm studying statistics and machine learning, but will listen to you talk about your obsession about anything
Learn more about this world... I’m co-founding a diplomatic-journalistic publication. Lots of people tell me it should integrate forecasting. I’d love to get a precise idea how.
Anyone who is very into geopolitics...
I run Sage - we make Fatebook (the fastest way to track your predictions) and Quantified Intuitions (rapid training tools for forecasting), as well as AI Digest. At Manifest, I want to:
I'm always keen to nerd out with others on education reform, reproductive technology, demographic collapse, pronatalism, culture, religion, and more—plus I'm just keen to meet new people (and fellow parents!).
I may be able to connect people to helpful resources or information regarding reprotech (e.g. PGT-P, IVF), education reform, pronatlaism, antinatalism, travel (I'm the CEO of a travel management business), entrepreneurship through acquisition (aka search funds), and family/parenting stuff.
I go to Manifest to cut down the time I have to spend socializing with other people by concentrating that interaction into a small time investment large pay off gathering. My big projects are trying to replace the school system with https://collinsinstitute.org/, trying to build an alternative to the current healthcare system, and running the pronatalist movement. Oh and my podcast: https://www.youtube.com/@SimoneandMalcolm
Connections within the right leaning EA/rat branch. (My wife is running for office right now as a Republican.)
Here to see what it's all about
I'll do whatever if it's convenient
I'd love to get more clarity on some of these questions, e.g.
I have deep insight into the many practical difficulties you may run into if you try to implement some kind of internal forecasting at a mid-sized org. I wrote about some of those here.
Network with forecasting enthusiasts, founders, and developers; engage with potential investors. Get up-to-date and learn new things. Raise awareness of Contro & explore collaborations.
Share initial lessons learned as a new founder, brainstorm new mechanisms and maths, blockchains.
Interested in the talks, plus meeting people in the rationalist/prediction space
25+ years experience in Software Engineer and ML. Startup founder- happy to give career advice or debug an app!
I want to meet people conducting radical experiments with new tech and cultural practices for thinking, decision making, and fun.
Advice and connections to AI and Tools for Thought researchers and practitioners.
I'd like to talk more about how we can predict the future, especially in biotechnology and biorisk.
I have a 7-year background in synthetic biology and gene-editing, and am glad to talk about that. I also used to be a data journalist and like to talk about charts.
I want to learn from people with exciting ideas.
I want to have good conversations and expand my worldview.
meet cool people
lets work on a cool project together
I want to write interesting questions and bet fake money on things, as an excursive exercise for understanding events outside my own mind or control. As long as no one gets hurt I don't care who wins.
Dishing up hot takes for free!
Looking to kick my summer off with a bang.
I know / can help you with
goofing
I make a mean soup. also pretty damn good at balancing at the ecosystem of a society, economy, or product.
Inspiration to write great questions. Forecasting theory ideas.
Happy to brainstorm with people about anything
Get to know new people, learn new things, and lose horribly in the poker tournament.
Top skills:
Meet interesting people
Experienced tech founder (grew company to 200+ people & successful acquisition) so I can help anyone with questions related to that.
I'd like to:
I could be a good listener/conversation partner for a wide range of topics. I'm always down to offer feedback and thoughts on writing or creative work. In recent job positions, I've been told that I'm a utility player and great at team work. I can help with general planning/strategy and coming up with ideas.
Just hanging out and coworking during the summer camp -- looking to meet interesting new people, maybe in particular talk about writing, EA outreach strategies (what messages should we be sending to what audiences, what are the biggest bottlenecks to address in growing important causes? etc). Also psyched to just hear the latest about forecasting, clever mechanism-design stuff, AI policy, and so on.
I know a lot about: aerospace / satellites, charter cities, georgism / yimbyism, assorted niche EA topics like stable totalitarianism. I'm trying to get better at my scriptwriting craft and would be interested to talk together about writing of any kind!
Networking for career insight/guidance
Can offer good vibes
I'm hoping my wife, Bess, meets other Internet nerds and fully groks the power and importance of writing online.
Editing.
Interesting ideas, interesting people, good fun
I can provide perspectives on different careers, being in my 3rd (software engineering, after law and teaching).
Mostly make friends and have fun. Potentially hire me as a research engineer for AI safety.
Fun, interesting takes on investing, heart to heart conversations etc.
Mostly here to have fun and meet people from the Manifold community in person for the first time.
.
I would like to figure out the potential of forecasting to improve society. Failing at that, I'd like to at least meet other people interested in prediction markets. Because I work in AI, I'm also interested in how AI and forecasting can be combined. And I'm always excited to meet new people in the rat/EA space.
I run the rationalist group for San Diego, so I'm always happy to talk about community building in the rat/EA space.
Talk to and meet interesting people. Learn about and test ideas in progress, AI, fertility.
Good question asker. Informed AI risk skeptic.
Socialize with others who enjoy the app.
Getting more insight into how to forecast AI progress.
Share Anthropic's take on AI progress
Mostly catching up with folks on all things around forecasting, AI, and whatever excites you.
Done a bit of forecasting over the last few years. Mostly somewhat "applied" to my work on AI Governance. Also worked a lot on empirical trends in AI. I like to draw lines on log charts.
get to know the San Francisco and Bay Area tech scene, make connections in the west coast tech industry!
Software engineering mentorship
I'm looking forward to fun conversations, meeting both old and new friends, and maybe learning something :-)
Talk to me about... almost anything, including AI?
Three things:
I run a lot of meetups for this kind of nerd intellectual, and coordinate even more. If you've seen my name, it was most likely in connection with the Astral Codex Ten Meetups Everywhere announcements.
To get exposure to new ideas and learn more about the state of the art in prediction markets.
I'd be glad to share my enthusiasm and any knowledge I have about prediction markets, market microstructure and smart contracts.
I'm here for the mechanism design, exotic perspectives, unhinged market ideas, and weird nerds who like that kind of thing.
Interested in hearing talks about progress studies, rationality, and meeting a ton of people from the ASC extended universe
I could offer some technical warewithall as a software engineer and, more importantly, a good conversation partner
Primarily, I'd like to build the early version of a mass communication platform for exploring, discussing, and "improving" our civic systems. Beyond that, I'd like to run some fun events, flex my personality around people I feel comfortable with, listen in on some great conversations, and maybe meet someone who provides the spark in my life I've been missing. Getting a job would be great too.
As a generalist, I can be the glue that connects different types of people together, or helps them see how they can connect without me. I can help you with your pitch to investors or customers, or just how you can market your product differently. It just depends though, sometimes I don't have much to offer.
Networking, figuring out next steps in life.
Happy to chat about intersection of AI and healthcare, personalized & preventative medicine, and longevity. Also interested in whole brain emulation, BCI, longevity, metascience, and progress studies.
I'm looking forward to enjoying the variety of talks (so many I am excited to check out!) and meeting folks.
I'm happy to be a springboard for ideas, in particular about AI and software engineering. I hope to be a friendly face and conversationalist!
Talk to smart people about the future, predicting it and acting on these predictions. Hear new ideas that I haven't heard or thought of yet. Socialize with people with the worldview close to mine.
I'm relatively good at problem-solving, at seeing both sides of the debate.
TODO
TODO
Chat with others about applications for AI / LLMs. I'm particularly interested to learn more about applications in biology/biotech.
I run a micro grants program for entrepreneurs at Eire-Ventures.com.
Vibes, come talk to me about that one weird thing you're really into.
I can hang out, jam, found an org with you, go on a road trip, manipulate Manifold markets
I'm looking to understand prediction markets better. We use various forecasting methods in government, but prediction markets haven't stuck, at least in budget circles. This seems like a missed opportunity. I come to Manifold from the rationality community and am excited to attend those workshops.
In my professional life I am a Budget Analyst in DoD focusing on fuel, long-lead single-source weapon system spare parts, and statistical controls (in case you speak acronym, that’s GS-0501 for WCF Cash in DLA J83 detailed to OUSD(C) EFT RF). I believe budget is applied policy in the same sense that engineering is applied science. I know well and am excited to talk about the federal budget generally, how we raise and spend money, and how to use that to accomplish policy goals. I have opinions ab
I'm looking for potential co-founders or an early stage project to join. Let me know if you need an experienced technical co-lead!
I am very skilled at bringing good ideas to fruition! Tell me any sorts of good ideas you think should become reality.
I'm looking for potential co-founders or an early stage project to join. Let me know if you need an experienced technical co-lead!
I am very skilled at bringing good ideas to fruition! Tell me any sorts of good ideas you think should become reality.
I'm looking forward to expanding my knowledge about a variety of topics involving forecasting, AI, X-risk, and other rat/EA topics. I'm also hoping to meet interesting people, build a better network, and have fun conversations.
I work in biotech so I could chat about the industry or about genomics, DNA sequencing, protein engineering, and biochemistry.
"Meeting Goals"...HAPPINESS!!! Ha-ppi-ness...
I'm afraid my romantic matchmaking and personal assistant matchmaking days are behind me. But bring me Gabe Bankman-Fried, Gage Weston, a piano, a microphone, and sheet music for What A Wonderful World and y'all are in for a treat.
Meet interesting people. Both old friends and a few new people. Preferably in one of the quieter outdoor areas.
My long-term experience with financial markets might enable me to provide some small insights into how to design better markets?
I am a Stanford student studying the political economy of political prediction markets. What are the paths to approval? What can this community do to gain legal status? I have spoken to many current and former regulators, elected representatives, journalists, academics, etc. about this.
Between my Stanford GSB classmates and my industry contacts (in traditional, not quant, finance) I have a useful network that I can use to connect people.
Forecasting AI, AI alignment, hiring incredible technical people, smart and weird conversations. Would love to chat with anyone about these or be connected with the person you believe is the best thinker in these spaces!
I founded and run a scaling (150+ FTEs) data sci and dev consulting studio, I have grown out internal teams working on neurotechnology and AI alignment. Would love to offer our technical expertise to valuable projects and also figure out neglected approaches to AI alignment that could actually solve the problem. Can offer entrepreneurship and business advice generally.
Forecasting AI, AI alignment, hiring incredible technical people, smart and weird conversations. Would love to chat with anyone about these or be connected with the person you believe is the best thinker in these spaces!
I founded and run a scaling (150+ FTEs) data sci and dev consulting studio, I have grown out internal teams working on neurotechnology and AI alignment. Would love to offer our technical expertise to valuable projects and also figure out neglected approaches to AI alignment that could actually solve the problem. Can offer entrepreneurship and business advice generally.
New friends, profits, market ideas, ideas about how to make futarchy happen on any scale, great conversations, great episodes of "Manifold: Live!", fun!
I have experience running a Manifold bot, adding small features to the site, and running livestreams on/about Manifold. I'll give anything a go, so if there's something you want to make happen and you need someone else and you don't know who to ask, try asking me!
Meet and hang out with fun, interesting people.
Interesting conversations.
I'm interested in developing tools to improve individual and collective epistemology. I'm exploring ideas like trust/believability scores for writers, public intellectuals, and influencers. I'd love to connect with others in the space.
I'm happy to be a thought partner to anyone on topics related to startup go-to-market or fraud & risk in fintech/financial services.
I want to meet cool people! Cool people can come chat with me!
Happy to chat with people about philosophy.
Meet people in the Bay Area, have interesting conversations, hear new ideas, earn some mana, maybe help figure out my plan for the next 6 months. Would also like to learn what forecasting is (half-serious).
Meet potential future coworkers.
I want to meet others working on or interested in AI safety, or who have related thoughts on forecasting AI
I can talk with you about the state of US federal AI policy, connect you with others in the space, talk to you about roles my org is hiring for
Meeting people and learning more about AI and forecasting.
Experience in building AI forecasting system via LM. Research conversations in algorithms, ML theory, and LM mech interp.
Teach me about how to predict the future
History of AI/ML, history of the Internet
I am looking to get into arguments about politics, international relations, and morality.
I know a lot of fun facts. I work in B2B enterprise SaaS and could advise about how to get jobs in that. I’m not a great forecaster but I am good at coming up with fun markets.
Looking to connect with people who are interested in making the future go well and see writing as a way to do that. I am eager to talk with writers, forecasters, and others who are passionate about the history of ideas and transformative technologies. You can help me by pitching ideas for writing, writers, or special projects for Asimov Press. What do you hope to see from a magazine that covers scientific progress? What pieces do you want to read?
I can offer advice on editing and writing, and commiserate about both.
Recently left my job as deputy editor of meridian.mercury.com. Looking for my next opportunity! Also your thoughts on dating apps. I've been working with a team to build a long form profiles & compatibility scores site and product. We need funders and builders. Designers especially.
Writing and editing services. I'm also a great listener and have been told I ask good questions.
Meet incredible people, see how we can improve Kalshi, have a great time!
Share more about Kalshi, hopefully make the product better for the future, share my experience as to what building a company in the PM space is like.
Game to talk about game theory, mechanism design, Mathematica as a programming language, AI of course, real money vs play money prediction markets, ...
I know things about startups and running a small business. And I've been in the rationality community for, like, decades.
manifesting manifold
talk to me about forecasting, finance, & filosophy
Talk to people who are interested in:
I work as a senior UI/UX designer, and I am interested in consulting on projects related to epistemic tooling, improving collective coordination, or governance mechanisms.
Learn more from ppl betting in markets
Perhaps how to approach systematic investing?
Long-time Manifold user, interested in forecasting and meeting other site users and communit members.
Happy to share my experiences and opinions...
Mostly, I'm just here to learn and have fun! I love prediction markets, I love statistics, and I love the Rationalist community. I'm incredibly hyped to meet the other nerds of the world and talk to them about everything from forecasting to fertility. If I can leave Berkeley with a just few great ideas and friendships, then I will consider it a success.
If you want an eager young mind who can research and write about a wide variety of topics, I'm your guy!
Meet interesting people!
If you’re looking into AIS or live in NYC, SF, or Cambridge, I’m happy to make introductions. I also love helping to flesh out people’s ideas—talk to me!
Find out if this stuff is as interesting in real life as it is in the blogs
Captive audience for your interesting stories
just looking to meet (and learn from) interesting people
hard-earned scars experience building a product and company
I want to have interesting conversations with cool people!
If you're interested in questions like "how should I aggregate forecasts" or "what proper scoring rule should I use", I'm a good person to ask!
I want to make the most out of prediction markets for making career and business decisions.
I've taken an ML startup through an IPO as a VP of Technology.
Just tell me anything interesting about Deep Learning, forecasting or quantitative trading.
I can explain the mathematics of random stuff. Besides being a Mathematician I am also an experienced software developer.
I want to hear unfamiliar ideas about what the next few decades will be like. Also do some fun betting.
Good listener, decent organizer.
I'm interested in new ideas, and especially interested in old ideas that are newly-relevant.
Stress-testing ideas.
I'm obsessed with "return on attention" and creative approaches to epistemology. My work uniquely focuses on the emotional aspects of rationality, and building infrastructure to help people DESIRE truth. Just here to brainstorm ideas and see if a fun experimental project emerges.
I've been building epistemic infrastructure for 5 years, so I'd be happy to help others overcome obstacles in their work and thinking.
Maximize serendipity and connections to domains outside my own where the shapes are unexpectedly similar. Hear from people excited about their ideas. Spelunk systems together.
Areas I have some practical knowledge in where I'd hope I could be helpful: identifying points of leverage in/on institutions, particularly public sector ones; adversarial integration with legacy systems in many meanings of the phrase; analytic models of unintended service rationing.
Im hoping to learn more about Predictions market and many other stuff :)
A nice discussion about basically anything with a designer point of view
Note: Please don't share the following information outside of Manifest attendees. I don't mention the information below in most spaces; if word gets out about some of these beliefs/plans, it could ruin my chances. That being said—I trust you, fellow Manifest attendees!
I'm an extremely social extrovert, and I know a good bit about the DC political scene. I also started and considerably grew my EA campus group. If you want to have a fun conversation, reach out!
I'd love to talk about different ways of measuring and forecasting AI model capabilities. What benchmarks do you check about a new model when it comes out? What milestones do you care about in AI capabilities? What questions are the most useful to forecast on for making AI go well?
I can talk about getting into forecasting (I'm a pro forecaster on Metaculus), AI, and some of the pitfalls of forecasting AI.
Ideas on how to make predictions markets better for everyone.
A perspective from a different viewing point, as I might be one of the few people at manifest coming from Brazil and the performing arts world.
I want to raise a bunch of genius children, and to encourage others to do so. Looking for co-conspirators. Also aiming to create niceness along the way.
Ask me about exceptionally gifted children and how they're best raised.
Learn and meet others interested in Community Notes, truth-seeking, prediction markets, etc.
happy to listen to feedback/suggestions or answer Qs about Community Notes
Meet people who are passionate about prediction markets, get new ideas and inspiration, find potential partners to collaborate on projects.
Brainstorm ideas in general.
I enjoy 1:1 and small group conversations with kindred spirits and people who will inspire my future work.
I'd be happy to talk to you about: AI x-risk comms strategy, writing fiction, relationships, sex, kink, coping with existential dread, and having a life while parenting.
How can LLMs help with forecasting, science and philosophy.
Background in: AI Safety, LLMs, epistemology, cognitive science.
Meet some interesting people, learn some interesting things. In particular, improve my understanding of trading, which seems important and which I don't understand as well as I would like to.
Anything involving an understanding of software, particularly functional programming
I want to meet people, have fun, and learn new things (and have some new rabbit hole starting points).
Most recently, I’ve been in the AI policy/advocacy space, but before that, I was in public health/global health, so if people have questions about policy or about public health/global health they want to work through, I’d be happy to try and help.
Friends with common interests I can discuss things with after the conference, knowledge, open to job/side project/collaborator offers but not intending to leave my current job soon.
Software engineering Qs, advice to students, frandshipp, fun
Meet people, get better as a trader and a researcher
Comparative advantage here is probably the academic side of things- know about publishing, jobs, et c
Looking for SF local friends! Fan of tech, video games, forecasting, Japan, stuff like that
Got 10+ years of software experience and have been building with LLMs in production for the past year, happy to provide advice
Create markets, have fun, prepare for the future well
Talking about things
Meet interesting people associated with prediction markets and AI. Possibly find co-founders for outing.ai - an AI travel agency - or find an interesting team to join.
AI help, world travel advice, and political help for a candidate.
New to the space, looking to grow my network
Currently building an RSS newsfeed that features embedded prediction market odds from leading platforms
I hope to meet new friends, learn about new ideas, and start/join new ventures!
Share my personal experiences (ask me about working for the Singapore government, using prediction markets to inform policymaking in Singapore, or my previous experience living in China and the UK).
I want to gain insights into the current challenges in AI extinction risk mitigation and explore opportunities for collaboration where my engineering background can add value.
I can offer my expertise in designing and operating distributed systems at scale, drawing on my 6.5 years as a Principal Engineer at Amazon, and share insights on the uses and limitations of large language models.
Would love to learn more about forecasting and particularly how people use AI tools to forecast.
I've started some advocacy nonprofits so I can give advice on that. I work in science policy and have lots of ideas about infectious disease, vaccines, and human subject research
Win the poker tournament!
Guidance to any early-stage/growth companies interested in launching or offering services to prediction markets, sportsbooks, etither onshore or overseas.
Meet folks. Challenge brain. Make friends. Enjoy vibes.
Generally looking forward to hearing folks' stories and paths.
I want to use complex ideas to make the world better at scale - I’m looking for new ideas and connections to be a part of that journey with me
I love to help people who are 1. trying to make big decisions with their business, 2. trying to understand the fundamental dynamics behind how large scale systems work, or 3. trying to design a more fulfilling life for themselves
I want to talk with others about AI, forecasting, history, etc.
See above
Listen to interesting talks, meet interesting people.
Interesting conversation, knowledge about finance & math, being cool and reasonable.
I want to meet forecasters with an expertise in Washington state politics, UK politics, and climate policy
Expertise on the regulation of prediction markets; interview people about political gambling on Star Spangled Gamblers
I'm looking to build my network, with the intention to later draw upon that network when creating a team to solve something big (geoengineering, industrialising the solar system, alignment, all the major problems of the 21st century, the rest).
Can provide good conversation over Coffee
I’m interested in novel business models for prediction markets and would like to discuss some ideas.
I think I can bring some options to the table to gauge if market makers are interested.
Just being a sponge!
Happy to consult on the human interaction, needs, and product/market fit.
Interesting conversations
Attentive listening
Fun conversations and interesting people
I don't know, feel free to ask! People keep asking me for advice and I'm not sure why but they tend not to regret it
I want to talk with people who have experience in internal prediction markets for internal projects.
I know how to create high performing teams and to create high performing cultures. Ask me how! (Or read my book, Agile Conversations, and listen to podcast, Troubleshooting Agile.)
Interested in learning more about:
I'd be happy to talk about formal methods and automated reasoning - I have 20 years experience working on these topics. I also know a lot about DARPA and similar US Gov 'moonshot' funding, if thats of interest to you.
I'm looking for a full time project to start or join, and exploring how Zero Knowledge tech can be used in the real world (e.g. for whistleblowing of distributed reputation/trust system)
I may fund an ambitious project or person.
Na
Happy to take asterisk pitches, talk writing, etc
I want to find collaborators to work on simulating and doing small scale experiment with radically different social systems.
Share experience of a failed startup. Share what I know about the topic of life extension.
Mess around with the rest of the Manifold whales, and ask a bunch of tough questions to some famous people.
Advice on how to Manifold better, optimal strategy to win the poker tournament if you're bad at poker, and making positive EV coin flips
Here to absorb the vibes, learn cool new information, and meet new friends! I'm also always happy to pitch my totally-real-and-not-at-all-fake startup (openasteroidimpact.org) :)
I can trade jokes and memes.
Fun!
Fun!
Mingling
AI doom thoughts
Be myself around others being themselves with ourselves being understood
I’ve tried a lot of supplement experiments to feel better and I think many people want to feel better. I’m a careful observer of others when not occupied with myself.
stimulating friendship
also stimulating friendship
Help people by telling stories about all the crazy pills and health experiments I’ve done, so they can do too.
I tried a lot of things to feel better and I think a lot of people want to feel better.
P(Learning from cool people and making new friends) = 1
let's chat about tools for thought, productivity, mental models, software, education, or anything else :-)
Ideas! Collaborations!
Sharing our policy experience from the Czech Republic
I'm interested in developing tools to improve individual and collective epistemology. I'm exploring ideas like trust/believability scores for writers, public intellectuals, and influencers. I'd love to connect with others in the space.
I'm happy to be a thought partner to anyone on topics related to startup go-to-market or fraud & risk in fintech/financial services.
I want my working life to move closer to smart/weird Bay Area people (I'm in Toronto). I'm interested in finding events I can help make better - everything from conferences/festivals like Manifest to internal company conferences and leadership retreats
I can advise you on how to bring greater emotional intelligence to your event designs, and to your work interactions/collaborations